Page:Popular Science Monthly Volume 83.djvu/408

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404
THE POPULAR SCIENCE MONTHLY

Nor is the aspect of the syllogistic reasoning which this emphasizes, the only one to which modern logic calls attention. Mrs. Ladd-Franklin long ago pointed out that the entire theory of the syllogism could be stated as a sort of comment upon the fact that a triad of propositions which she called "a triadic inconsistency" has, when considered as a triad, a certain set of logical properties. These logical properties, belonging to such a triad of propositions, can be observed by a process which is of the nature widely illustrated throughout the whole realm of mathematics; but this is certainly not the synthesis that Professor Pillsbury has in mind when he analyzes what he supposes to be a typical process of deductive reasoning.

Still more unfortunate for the study of the psychology of the reasoning process is that misunderstanding of the nature of deduction which supposes that the principal use of a deduction is to bring to pass a belief in a certain conclusion by virtue of an appeal to a belief in certain premises. This assumption, common in the recent literature of pragmatism, is false to the most essential use of deduction in the exact sciences. Mr. Russell has well emphasized the fact that, in mathematical science, just in so far as it is pure mathematics, you are not concerned with producing belief in the conclusions themselves. Your interest in pure mathematics, that is to say in that science which deals with deduction proper, lies simply in showing that certain premises do imply certain conclusions. That is, you show that " implies ," where and are propositions. The importance of mathematics for the empirical sciences is due to the fact that it gives you a means for testing the hypotheses by first finding out what are their logical consequences. Now it is essential for the fair and unprejudiced testing of an hypothesis, that you should not be too much disposed to believe in it before you test it. It is very important, when you do not believe an hypothesis, or when your mind is still perfectly open upon the subject, to find out with exactness what would he true if the hypothesis were true. Your purpose in deduction is therefore not to establish belief in certain consequences by virtue of a previous belief in the hypothesis upon which they depend. Your great interest is to produce no belief whatever either in the hypothesis or in the conclusions from the hypothesis, until the logical issues arc precisely defined for empirical confirmation; and then you are ready to appeal to the confirming or refuting experience. It is a strange misunderstanding of the nature of the deductive process to suppose that its principal interest is an interest in producing belief in consequences. The sole logical interest of the deductive inquirer lies in his discovery that certain premises imply certain conclusions.

To sum up, then, this sketch: I assert that in the recent psychology of reasoning, the nature of the deductive process and its principal purpose have been equally misunderstood. Deduction in its more developed