The Logic of Chance

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The Logic of Chance  (1888) 
by John Venn
1888 (3rd revised ed.), first edition was published in 1866

THE

LOGIC OF CHANCE

AN ESSAY

ON THE FOUNDATIONS AND PROVINCE OF THE THEORY OF PROBABILITY,

WITH ESPECIAL REFERENCE TO ITS LOGICAL BEARINGS AND ITS APPLICATION TO

MORAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCE, AND TO STATISTICS,


BY

JOHN VENN, Sc.D., F.R.S.,

FELLOW AND LECTURER IN THE MORAL SCIENCES, GONVILLE AND CAIUS COLLEGE, CAMBRIDGE.

LATE EXAMINER IN LOGIC AND MORAL PHILOSOPHY IN THE UNIVERSITY OF LONDON.


"So careful of the type she seems
So careless of the single life."


THIRD EDITION, RE-WRITTEN AND ENLARGED.


London:
MACMILLAN AND CO.
AND NEW YORK
1888

[All Rights reserved.]


page


First Edition printed 1866.
Second Edition 1876.
Third Edition 1888.

page

Contents

PART I. Physical Foundations of the Science of Probability.

  • Chapter I: The Series of Probability
  • Chapter II: Arrangement and Formation of the Series. Laws of Errors.
  • Chapter III: Origin or Process of Causation of the Series.
  • Chapter IV: How to Discover and Prove the Series.
  • Chapter V: The Conception of Randomness.

PART II. Logical Superstructure of the Above Physical Foundations.

PART III. Various Applications of the Theory of Probability.

  • Chapter XV: Insurance and Gambling.
  • Chapter XVI: Application of Probability to Testimony.
  • Chapter XVII: Credibility of Extraordinary Stories.
  • Chapter XVIII: On the Nature and Use of an Average, and on the Different Kinds of Average.
  • Chapter XIX: The Theory of the Average as a Means of Approximation to the Truth.

Index


This work is in the public domain in the United States because it was published before January 1, 1923.

The author died in 1923, so this work is also in the public domain in countries and areas where the copyright term is the author's life plus 80 years or less. This work may also be in the public domain in countries and areas with longer native copyright terms that apply the rule of the shorter term to foreign works.