Page:A philosophical essay on probabilities Tr. Truscott, Emory 1902.djvu/185

From Wikisource
Jump to navigation Jump to search
This page has been proofread, but needs to be validated.
ILLUSIONS IN THE ESTIMATION OF PROBABILITIES.
175

If one consult a diviner or a soothsayer, if one immolates a victim, if one regards the flight of a bird, if one encounters a Chaldean or an aruspex, if it lightens, if it thunders, if the thunderbolt strikes, finally, if there is born or is manifested a kind of prodigy, things one of which ought often to happen, then superstition dominates and leaves no repose. Sleep itself, this refuge of mortals in their troubles and their labors, becomes by it a new source of inquietude and fear."

All these prejudices and the terrors which they inspire are connected with physiological causes which continue sometimes to operate strongly after reason has disabused us of them. But the repetition of acts contrary to these prejudices can always destroy them.