Page:Online Statistics Education.pdf/44

From Wikisource
Jump to navigation Jump to search
There was a problem when proofreading this page.

Figure 3. A histogram of the grouped frequency distribution shown in Table 3. The labels on the X-axis are the middle values of the range they represent.

Probability Densities

The histogram in Figure 3 portrays just DL's 20 times in the one experiment he performed. To represent the probability associated with an arbitrary movement (which can take any positive amount of time), we must represent all these potential times at once. For this purpose, we plot the distribution for the continuous variable of time. Distributions for continuous variables are called continuous distributions. They also carry the fancier name probability density. Some probability densities have particular importance in statistics. A very important one is shaped like a bell, and called the normal distribution. Many naturally-occurring phenomena can be approximated surprisingly well by this distribution. It will serve to illustrate some features of all continuous distributions.

An example of a normal distribution is shown in Figure 4. Do you see the “bell”? The normal distribution doesn't represent a real bell, however, since the left and right tips extend indefinitely (we can't draw them any further so they look like they've stopped in our diagram). The Y-axis in the normal distribution represents the “density of probability.” Intuitively, it shows the chance of obtaining values near corresponding points on the X-axis. In Figure 4, for example, the probability of an observation with value near 40 is about half of the probability of an

44