Declassified per Executive Order 13526, Section 3.3
NND Project Number: NND 63316. By: NWD Date: 2011
TOP SECRET – Sensitive
III. D. 1. THE OUTCOME FOR THE COMMUNISTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS and OUTLINE
| Page | |||
| 1. | The Major Communist Powers Achieve Their Objectives | D-5 | |
| a. | Communists See Complete Takeover as Inevitable | D-5 | |
| b. | Chinese Not Adverse to Permanent Partition | D-5 | |
| c. | China Sees Creation of a Neutral Buffer Zone | D-6 | |
| d. | China's Domestic Economy is Protected | D-6 | |
| e. | U.S. Threat of Massive Intervention is Forestalled | D-6 | |
| f. | Prospects of Short-Run Stability Please the Russians | D-6 | |
| g. | Russians See Influence on French View of EDC | D-7 | |
| 2. | The Major Communist Powers Perceive Certain Losses | D-7 | |
| a. | Communist Consolidation of All Indochina is Not Achieved | D-7 | |
| b. | U.S. Influence in Indochina is Not Prevented | D-7 | |
| 3. | The DRV Views its Gains and Losses | D-8 | |
| a. | Advantages are Gained, but at a Price | D-8 | |
| b. | The DRV is Insured of Territorial Consolidation | D-8 | |
| c. | Election Plans Point to Eventual DRV Domination | D-9 | |
| 4. | The DRV is Satisfied with the Geneva Outcome | D-9 | |
D-4
TOP SECRET – Sensitive
