Page:Walter Renton Ingalls - Current Economic Affairs (1924).pdf/52

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38
CURRENT ECONOMIC AFFAIRS
Comparison of Index NumbersContinued
Year Consumers’ goods Construction Most probable composite
NBER BL FRB NICB Ab EN F
1913 100.0 100.0 100 100 100 100
1914 102.4 103.0 101 100 100 93 91 100
1915 101.5 105.1 102 101  98 101 101
1916 111.0 118.3 119 109 137 132 125
1917 132.0 142.4 163 131 189 153 150
1918 154.0 174.4 191 159 203 155 165
1919 188.3 211 172 208 163 195
1920 208.5 231 198 239 210 200
1921 177.3 159 167 179 202 177 170
1922 167.3 151 157 170 177 160 170
B = Bradstreet
BL = Bureau of Labor
DA = Department of Agriculture
WRI = W. R. Ingalls
FRB = Federal Reserve Board
NBER = National Bureau of Economic Research
NICB = National Industrial Conference Board
Ab = Aberthaw Construction Co.
EN = Engineering News
F = The George A. Fuller-Co.

service in terms of quantity and the expression thereof in terms of dollars. There is no way of determining this highly necessary factor by any arithmetical or logical process. My method has been the examination of a large number of indicia, which appear in an accompanying table, and the exercise of empirical judgment as to what appears to be the most probable. Obviously, there is the possibility of more or less error in this. Yet, I do not think it can be very material, inasmuch as the estimates of the national income over a long series of years by my rough method, which involve these