The Report of the Iraq Inquiry - Executive Summary

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The Report of the Iraq Inquiry - Executive Summary (2016)
by John Chilcot
2096334The Report of the Iraq Inquiry - Executive Summary2016John Chilcot

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Contents

Introduction 4
Pre‑conflict strategy and planning 5
The UK decision to support US military action 6
UK policy before 9/11 6
The impact of 9/11 10
Decision to take the UN route  16
Negotiation of resolution 1441 19
The prospect of military action 21
The gap between the Permanent Members of the Security Council widens  24
The end of the UN route  30
Why Iraq? Why now? 40
Was Iraq a serious or imminent threat?  40
The predicted increase in the threat to the UK as a result of military action in Iraq  47
The UK’s relationship with the US 51
Decision‑making 54
Collective responsibility  55
Advice on the legal basis for military action 62
The timing of Lord Goldsmith’s advice on the interpretation of resolution 1441 63
Lord Goldsmith’s advice of 7 March 2003 65
Lord Goldsmith’s arrival at a “better view”  66
The exchange of letters on 14 and 15 March 2003 66
Lord Goldsmith’s Written Answer of 17 March 2003 67
Cabinet, 17 March 2003 68
Weapons of mass destruction 69
Iraq WMD assessments, pre‑July 2002  69
Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002  72
Iraq WMD assessments, October 2002 to March 2003 75
The search for WMD  77
Planning for a post‑Saddam Hussein Iraq 78
The failure to plan or prepare for known risks 78
The planning process and decision‑making 81
The post‑conflict period 86
Occupation 86
Looting in Basra  86
Looting in Baghdad 88
UK influence on post‑invasion strategy: resolution 1483  89
UK influence on the Coalition Provisional Authority  90
A decline in security  93
The turning point 96
Transition  97
UK influence on US strategy post‑CPA 97
Planning for withdrawal  97
The impact of Afghanistan 99
Iraqiisation  101
Preparation for withdrawal 103
A major divergence in strategy  103
A possible civil war  104
Force Level Review 107
The beginning of the end 108
Did the UK achieve its objectives in Iraq? 109
Key findings 111
Development of UK strategy and options, 9/11 to early January 2002  111
Development of UK strategy and options, January to April 2002 – “axis of evil” to Crawford  111
Development of UK strategy and options, April to July 2002  112
Development of UK strategy and options, late July to 14 September 2002  112
Development of UK strategy and options, September to November 2002 – the negotiation of resolution 1441  113
Development of UK strategy and options, November 2002 to January 2003 113
Development of UK strategy and options, 1 February to 7 March 2003  114
Iraq WMD assessments, pre‑July 2002 115
Iraq WMD assessments, July to September 2002 116
Iraq WMD assessments, October 2002 to March 2003 117
The search for WMD 117
Advice on the legal basis for military action, November 2002 to March 2003  119
Development of the military options for an invasion of Iraq  120
Military planning for the invasion, January to March 2003  121
Military equipment (pre‑conflict) 122
Planning for a post‑Saddam Hussein Iraq 122
The invasion  123
The post‑conflict period  123
Reconstruction 124
De‑Ba’athification 125
Security Sector Reform 125
Resources  126
Military equipment (post‑conflict)  126
Civilian personnel  127
Service Personnel  127
Civilian casualties 128
Lessons 129
The decision to go to war 129
Weapons of mass destruction 130
The invasion of Iraq  133
The post‑conflict period 134
Reconstruction 135
De‑Ba’athification 137
Security Sector Reform 138
Resources  138
Military equipment (post‑conflict)  139
Civilian personnel 140
Timeline of events 141

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