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CIAdeceptionMaximsFactFolklore 1980.pdf
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Title
Deception maxims: facts and folklore
Author
Everest Consulting Associates and Mathtech Inc and ORD/CIA Analytic Methodology Research Division
Editor
Office of Research and Development, Central Intelligence Agency
Year
1981
Location
Washington DC
Source
pdf
Progress
To be proofread
Transclusion
Index not transcluded or unreviewed
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
INTRODUCTION
1
AN ASIDE: REMARKS ON THE DATA BASE
2
THE DECEPTION MAXIMS
4
Maxim 1: Magruder's Principle--the Exploitation of Preconceptions
5
Maxim 2: Limitations to Human Information Processing
10
Maxim 3: The Multiple Forms of Surprise
15
Maxim 4: Jones' Lemma
21
Maxim 5: A Choice Among Types of Deception
22
Maxim 6: Axelrod's Contribution: The Husbanding of Assets
27
Maxim 7: A Sequencing Rule
32
Maxim 8: The Importance of Feedback
33
Maxim 9: "The Monkey's Paw"
36
Maxim 10: Care in the Design of Planned Placement of Deceptive Material
41
TURNING THESE AROUND: IMPLICATIONS FOR COUNTER-DECEPTION
46
A NEED TO BROADEN THE PERSPECTIVE
46
FOOTNOTES
48
REFERENCES
51
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