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Index:CIAdeceptionMaximsFactFolklore 1980.pdf

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Title Deception maxims: facts and folklore
Author Everest Consulting Associates and Mathtech Inc and ORD/CIA Analytic Methodology Research Division
Editor Office of Research and Development, Central Intelligence Agency
Year 1981
Location Washington DC
Source pdf
Progress To be proofread
Transclusion Index not transcluded or unreviewed

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page
INTRODUCTION 1
AN ASIDE: REMARKS ON THE DATA BASE 2
THE DECEPTION MAXIMS 4
  Maxim 1: Magruder's Principle--the Exploitation of Preconceptions 5
  Maxim 2: Limitations to Human Information Processing 10
  Maxim 3: The Multiple Forms of Surprise 15
  Maxim 4: Jones' Lemma 21
  Maxim 5: A Choice Among Types of Deception 22
  Maxim 6: Axelrod's Contribution: The Husbanding of Assets 27
  Maxim 7: A Sequencing Rule 32
  Maxim 8: The Importance of Feedback 33
  Maxim 9: "The Monkey's Paw" 36
  Maxim 10: Care in the Design of Planned Placement of Deceptive Material 41
TURNING THESE AROUND: IMPLICATIONS FOR COUNTER-DECEPTION 46
A NEED TO BROADEN THE PERSPECTIVE 46
FOOTNOTES 48
REFERENCES 51